Effects of heat waves and climate change on the thermal resilience of naturally ventilated classrooms

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46421/encacelacac.v18i1.7085

Keywords:

Thermal resilience, Climate change, Heat waves, Classrooms, Natural ventilation

Abstract

This paper evaluates the thermal resilience of naturally ventilated classrooms in a public elementary school in Campinas, Brazil, considering the impacts of heatwaves and climate change. The methodology included on-site monitoring, computational model calibration, analysis of 10 years of heatwave data, and simulations of current and future climate scenarios. The indicators used were IOD (Indoor Overheating Degree), recovery time, PHFT (Percentage of Hours in the Temperature Range), and cooling load. The November 2023 heatwave resulted in 100% of occupied time outside the comfort zone, with a recovery time of 52 hours. Future scenarios indicated a reduction of up to 50% in PHFT and an increase of up to 121% in cooling load, reaching 269 kWh/m².year. The results highlight the urgent need to adapt school buildings to withstand more extreme future conditions.

Author Biographies

Eduarda Gonçalves Chaga, University of Campinas

Graduação em Arquitetura e Urbanismo pela Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul. Mestranda em Arquitetura, Tecnologia e Cidade na Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Campinas - SP, Brasil). 

Daniela Eleonora Carregã Balzan

Cursando Arquitetura e Urbanismo na Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Campinas - SP, Brasil).

Leticia de Oliveira Neves, Universidade Estadual de Campinas

Doutorado em Arquitetura, Tecnologia e Cidade pela Universidade Estadual de Campinas. Professora associada na Universidade Estadual de Campinas(Campinas - SP, Brasil)

References

ASHRAE. AMERICAN SOCIETY OF HEATING, REFRIGERATING AND AIR-CONDITIONING ENGINEERS. ASHRAE Standard 55: Thermal Environmental Conditions for Human Occupancy. Atlanta: ASHRAE, 2020. Disponível em: https://www.ashrae.org/technical-resources/standards-and-guidelines/read-only-versions-of-ashrae-standards. Acesso em: 10 set. 2024 .

ASHRAE. AMERICAN SOCIETY OF HEATING, REFRIGERATING AND AIR-CONDITIONING ENGINEERS. Guideline 14: Measurement of energy and demand savings. Technical report ISSN 1049-894X. ASHRAE Standards Committee, 2002.

BABA, Fuad Mutasim; GE, Hua; WANG, Liangzhu (Leon); ZMEUREANU, Radu. Assessing and mitigating overheating risk in existing Canadian school buildings under extreme current and future climates. Energy and Buildings, v. 279, p. 112710, 2023. DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2022.112710.

CENTRO DE PESQUISAS METEOROLÓGICAS E CLIMÁTICAS APLICADAS À AGRICULTURA – CEPAGRI. Dados meteorológicos. Campinas, 2024.

CPSIMULATOR. CPSimulator. 2021. Disponível em: https://cpsimulator.cimec.org.ar/home.html. Acesso em: 18 out. 2024.

FLORES-LARSEN, S.; BRE, F.; HONGN, M. A performance-based method to detect and characterize heatwaves for building resilience analysis. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, v. 167, p. 112795, 2022. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112795. Acesso em: 02 dez. 2024.

FLOURENTZOU, F.; VAN DER MAAS, J.; ROULET, C.-A. Natural ventilation for passive cooling: measurement of discharge coefficients. Energy and Buildings, v. 27, n. 3, p. 283-292, 1998. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-7788(97)00043-1.

FRANCESCHINI, Paula Brumer; LIGUORI, Iara Nogueira; NEVES, Leticia de Oliveira. AVALIAÇÃO DA QUALIDADE DO AR INTERIOR DURANTE A PANDEMIA DE COVID-19 EM SALAS DE AULA NATURALMENTE VENTILADAS. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE CONFORTO NO AMBIENTE CONSTRUÍDO, 16., 2021. Anais [...]. [S. l.], 2021. p. 658–667. Disponível em: https://eventos.antac.org.br/index.php/encac/article/view/4449. Acesso em: 22 abr. 2025.

IPCC. Glossary. Disponível em: https://apps.ipcc.ch/glossary/. Acesso em: 15 dez. 2024.

IPCC. Mudanças Climáticas 2022: Impactos, Adaptação e Vulnerabilidade. Contribuição do Grupo de Trabalho II para o Sexto Relatório de Avaliação do Painel Intergovernamental sobre Mudanças Climáticas. H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, B. Rama (orgs.). Cambridge University Press, 2022. 3056 p. DOI: 10.1017/9781009325844.

KRELLING, A. F.; ELI, L. G.; OLINGER, M. S.; MACHADO, R. M. E. S.; MELO, A. P.; LAMBERTS, R. A thermal performance standard for residential buildings in warm climates: Lessons learned in Brazil. Energy and Buildings, v. 281, p. 112770, 2023. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2022.112770. Acesso em: 21 nov. 2024.

OIKOLAB. Weather Downloader. Disponível em: https://weatherdownloader.oikolab.com/app. Acesso em: 02 dez. 2024.

ORGANIZAÇÃO METEOROLÓGICA MUNDIAL (OMM). Heatwave. Disponível em: https://wmo-int.translate.goog/topics/heatwave?_x_tr_sl=en&_x_tr_tl=pt&_x_tr_hl=pt&_x_tr_pto=wa. Acesso em: 12 dez. 2024.

OUZEAU, J.-M.; SOUBEYROUX, M.; SCHNEIDER, M.; VAUTARD, R.; PLANTON, S. Heat waves analysis over France in present and future climate: Application of a new method on the EURO-CORDEX ensemble. Climate Services, v. 4, p. 1-12, 2016. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.09.002. Acesso em: 10 dez. 2024.

RODRIGUES, E.; FERNANDES, M. S.; CARVALHO, D. Future weather generator for building performance research: an open-source morphing tool and an application. Building and Environment, v. 233, p. 110104, 2023. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2023.110104. Acesso em: 05 ago. 2024.

RIZZO, Krista; CAMILLERI, Mark; GATT, Damien; YOUSIF, Charles. Optimising mechanical ventilation for indoor air quality and thermal comfort in a Mediterranean school building. Sustainability, v. 16, p. 766, 2024. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16020766. Acesso em: 05 dez. 2024.

WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO). State of the Global Climate 2023. Geneva: WMO, 2024. Disponível em: https://library.wmo.int/idurl/4/68576. Acesso em: 19 dez. 2024.

Published

2025-08-16

How to Cite

CHAGA, Eduarda Gonçalves; BALZAN, Daniela Eleonora Carregã; NEVES, Leticia de Oliveira. Effects of heat waves and climate change on the thermal resilience of naturally ventilated classrooms. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE CONFORTO NO AMBIENTE CONSTRUÍDO, 18., 2025. Anais [...]. [S. l.], 2025. DOI: 10.46421/encacelacac.v18i1.7085. Disponível em: https://eventos.antac.org.br/index.php/encac/article/view/7085. Acesso em: 3 may. 2026.

Issue

Section

4. Desempenho Térmico do Ambiente Construído